misleading public opinion influences the process of development of new energy
Prior to the August 26, workers believed the Department battery for laptopof Development and Reform Commission in its "2009 Report of China's industrial economic operation in summer," pointed out, solar, wind and other emerging industries duplicate construction, launched a very serious disorder.
This thesis is like take the lead poured cold water, the original active in China's new energy industry suddenly silently.
In this regard, Ministry of Science and respond quickly to further understanding of the situation. Of Science and Technology-related officials and experts in nearly a month of research, and ultimately a report on the photovoltaic, wind energy, nuclear power capacity assessment report, submitted to the Ministry of Science and senior leaders in front.
Informed sources, the Ministry of Science report concluded that "excess capacity" and unfair to judge, and was concerned this thesis would mislead public opinion and affect China's new energy industry, the normal development process.
A Science and Technology officials questioned: "What new industries to excess? Duplication of investment in new industries is inevitable and necessary. Otherwise, where's the competition, but where's the progress?"
Thoroughly the real capacity
Science and Technology research group has tried IBM ThinkPad R32 battery， IBM ThinkPad R40 battery， IBM ThinkPad X60 batteryto find a group of photovoltaic capacity of China's real data, but let them down, even if the information published overcapacity competent authorities, it does not grasp the detailed information.
It is reported that "China's industrial economic operation in 2009 Summer Report" prepared by the Institute under the Academy of Social Sciences, data sources are mostly public information Jina.
The basic raw materials for silicon PV industry as an example, some media figures, as of the first half of this year, the domestic polysilicon project has been approved more than 50, the scale of investment will be more than 130 billion yuan, total capacity of more than 230 thousand tons . Some experts believe that these capacity had gone "beyond twice the total global demand."
Science and Technology, however, questioned the basis of these data derived from "excess capacity" conclude that there is much credibility? Hastily formulated in accordance with relevant policies and even contain some risk.
Therefore, the Science and Technology research group has tried their situations true photovoltaic capacity. However, since the research of Science and Technology experts said, "With our strength of a department, it is difficult in full swing to do a surface survey." Thus, this research can only choose a few key areas and enterprises, carry out case research.
Research results show that, the media and official letters are planning mining capacity, a far cry from the actual production capacity. These programs may be able to describe the capacity of some local governments and enterprises of ambition and enthusiasm, but the vast majority of the planning basis for the apparent lack of cash. "Some are local governments for investment needs, amplification publicity; some corporate demand for financing in the manufacturing concept."
Ministry of Science and master the situation is more than 50 polysilicon enterprises in the foregoing, the actual production of polysilicon can be just 10 more than the actual operational capacity is only 1.5 million tons.
Science and Technology The experts also found that support for "excess capacity" theory are mainly large enterprises. These enterprises to enter the industry earlier, most http://www.digital-battery.net/accustomed to high-profit mode of existence. The influx of a large number of subsequent attempts to this industry is bound to jeopardize their established pattern of interests.
"Therefore, do not rule out some companies deliberately spread the excess capacity of speech, creating artificial panic, a good stop from entering later." Science and Technology experts say that the aforementioned.
Reportedly, a public letter to the Department of Development and Reform Commission has also sent several research teams rushed to the place, thoroughly PV production capacity in order to follow-up policy to provide reliable data to support. So far, research has not yet come to relevant conclusions.
Excess of the debate
The report also acknowledged the past two years the rapid development of new energy industries, enterprises and local governments invest in enthusiasm.
In the polysilicon-producing provinces in Sichuan, in 2007 the output of only about 700 tons, 2,000 tons last year, a breakthrough, only in Leshan, Yaan two places, this year http://www.topbattery.net/polysilicon production capacity has exceeded 5,000 tons. By 2010, total production capacity will reach 3 million tons.
Link in the photovoltaic cells, photovoltaic cell production in China in 2001 is only 3 MW, but in 2008 reached 2600 MW 7900 MW, but that year the world's total output.
By 2008, the domestic photovoltaic glass production line only 4, but in 2008 it has been exactly on the 40.
Go all out soon is inevitable that chaos will occur. Environmental protection, energy and other issues make this so-called new energy industries with high pollution and high energy consumption to wear the hat. Some experts are also bitterly critical of this "rush into mass action, repeated investment," the chaotic situation that the need to accelerate consolidation. National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Public letters and other competent authorities apparently believed these views are also taken.
However, in Science and Technology view, this is not necessarily a bad thing. A Science and Technology officials told this reporter that "the process of development of new industries duplicate investment is inevitable and necessary. Otherwise, where's the competition? But where's the progress?"
NDRC Energy Research Institute, Li Junfeng, deputy director of the introduction of domestic polysilicon industry is still in the early stages of development, produce less than 5,000 tons last year, this year's output to 1 million tons. "But last year, our domestic consumption of 40,000 tons, 35,000 tons were imported." Said Li Junfeng.
Science and Technology research report on the current situation described as "nurturing stage characteristics with the industry," the excess.
Science and Technology reported that the early stage of development later, as the industry continues to mature, this "Xure" symptoms will gradually recede, people should not be a strong fever.
For now the "excess" appears to be a PV production capacity exceeds the demand for progress, while the Ministry of Science and that the real problem is that demand for the launch will take some time.
Foregoing of Science and Technology officials told this reporter that "They said that the new energy industry overcapacity, giving people the feeling that our country do not need so much new energy resources. But let me say that 100% of the country are using new energy sources can not be considered surplus What is more, we are now faced with the threat of power shortages. "
In his view, the real problem lies in the state for the photovoltaic industry planning lags far behind the industry, the rapid development of the situation, the domestic PV industry is still in "folk to help the Government" status.
An industry source said, photovoltaic market is essentially a policy-driven market, "its real size of the market demand is not determined by the actual energy supply gap, but http://www.camera-battery-store.com/depends on the government's financial support for countries."
Science and Technology Research reports are that the power grid such as poor infrastructure, new energy price subsidy policy lags behind, leading to new domestic energy market to cultivate stalled, the fetters of a new energy industry, fast-pace of development.
In the Science and Technology view, the solution to the current so-called excess capacity, it should be more efforts to cultivate in the market, instead of putting the cart before blindly plugging.